TA: Bitcoin Holds Ground, Why 100 SMA Is The Key For Fresh Increase

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Bitcoin remained stable above the $46,000 support zone against the US Dollar. BTC could start a steady increase if there is a clear move above the 100 hourly SMA.

  • Bitcoin is forming a base above the $46,400 and $46,000 support levels.
  • The price is still trading below $48,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $47,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair must clear $49,200 and the 100 hourly SMA for a steady increase.

Bitcoin Price Forms Base

Bitcoin price declined towards the $46,000 support level. BTC seems to be forming a base above the $46,000 and $46,400 levels. A low was formed near $45,759 before the price started a recovery wave.

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There was a move above the $47,200 and $47,500 resistance levels. Besides, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance near $47,200 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. However, the pair still trading below $48,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

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It faced a strong resistance near the $48,250 zone and the 100 hourly SMA. Bitcoin also struggled near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $50,785 swing high to $45,759 low.

An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $48,100 level. The first major resistance is near the $48,250 level. The next key resistance could be $48,800. It is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $50,785 swing high to $45,759 low.

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Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A proper break above the $48,800 resistance could open the doors for more upsides. The next key resistance is near the $50,000 level, above which the price may possibly gain momentum.

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Dips Limited In BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $48,880 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. An immediate support on the downside is near the $47,500 level.

The first major support is now forming near the $47,000 level. The main support is now near $46,000. A downside break below the $46,000 support may perhaps accelerate losses in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $47,200, followed by $46,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $48,250, $48,800 and $50,000.

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Author: Aayush Jindal


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